用不同的非线性模型和MARS算法研究肉生长曲线的研究
Turgay Şengül1, Şenol Çelik1, Ahmet Yusuf Şengül1
1Dept. of Animal Sci., Faculty of Agriculture, Bingöl University, Bingöl, Türkiye.
PloS one
|November 22, 2024
概括
多变量自适应回归线 (MARS) 算法准确地模拟了肉从0-6周的体重增加. 与传统的数学模型相比,这种数据挖掘方法为预测的生长提供了更好的替代方案.
科学领域:
- 动物科学动物科学
- 农业工程 农业工程
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 精确建模肉生长对于优化生产至关重要.
- 传统的数学增长曲线在准确描述体重-年龄关系方面存在局限性.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定最适合的数学模型来预测肉的活体重.
- 评估各种增长曲线和数据挖掘算法的性能.
主要方法:
- 我们比较了五个数学模型 (Logistics,Gompertz,Weibull,Hossfeld,Von Bertalanffy) 和MARS算法.
- 使用的 brojler chick 生体重量从0-6周.
- 使用R平方,MSE,AIC和BIC值进行评估的模型匹配.
主要成果:
- 戈珀茨模型表现出强的性能,但MARS算法表现出卓越的预测准确性.
- 马斯算法的估计重量与观察到的活体重量值非常相匹配.
- 高R平方和低误差指标证实了MARS对生长的预测能力.
结论:
- 马尔斯算法是模拟肉体重年龄动态的一个非常有效的工具.
- 对于寻求准确增长预测的育种者来说,MARS是一个有价值的替代品.
- 这项研究强调了数据挖掘在畜牧业中的潜力.
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