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对野火管理规定的燃烧的优化和决策模型的审查
1Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, New York, USA.
Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
|November 23, 2024
概括
本系统性审查确定了有效的规定的燃烧模型的关键组件,这对于气候变化中森林管理至关重要. 它强调了越来越复杂和需要更好的野火处理结果的模型类型.
科学领域:
- 林业和野地火灾管理 森林和野地火灾管理
- 运营研究和优化 运营研究和优化
- 环境科学与政策
背景情况:
- 规定的燃烧对于森林管理至关重要,但计划起来很复杂,特别是气候变化影响着火灾行为.
- 有限的研究全面确定了有效的处方燃烧模型的关键元素.
- 25年来对471篇论文的系统审查解决了这个差距.
研究的目的:
- 系统地审查和分析规定的燃烧的优化和决策模型.
- 确定这些模型中的基本组件和共同假设.
- 建议未来的研究方向,以提高模型的开发和实用性.
主要方法:
- 系统的文献综述471学术论文的规定燃烧模型.
- 将模型分为空间分配,空间范围,仅时间和空间时间类型.
- 对模型组件,解决方案技术,假设和局限性的分析.
主要成果:
- 确定了四种主要模型类型,趋向于空间分配和空间-时间模型.
- 观察到模型复杂度的增加以及对更有影响力的因素的考虑.
- 详细的基本组成部分 (利益相关者,变量,目标,因素) 和解决方案技术 (整数编程,动态编程,多目标编程).
结论:
- 增强模型的实用性需要纳入已识别的基本组件,并解决假设中的挑战.
- 未来的研究应该专注于动态火灾行为,利益相关者的投入,以及更全面的模型的长期影响.
- 改进的模型将有助于决策者优化野火处理和管理结果.
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