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基于资源城市的弹性和碳排放之间的相关性分析,基于对双碳背景的场景模拟
Xinyue Fan1,2, Bin Liu3,4, Xiaoyi Yang5,2
1College of Management Science, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, 610059, China.
Scientific reports
|November 24, 2024
概括
这项研究将城市弹性与以资源为基础的城市 (RBC) 的碳排放联系起来. 高度弹性城市可以实现可持续发展,而其他城市则需要为低碳增长量身定制的战略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 基于资源的城市 (RBC) 在平衡发展与环境可持续性方面面临着独特的挑战.
- 了解城市弹性和碳排放之间的相互作用对于区域可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查中国西南部18个RBC的弹性和碳排放之间的相关性.
- 根据城市的弹性水平,制定针对低碳发展的定制战略.
主要方法:
- 构建碳排放影响和城市弹性指数系统.
- 在"资源 - 生态 - 社会"维度的量化弹性.
- 利用长短期记忆 (LSTM) 模型进行碳峰值场景模拟.
主要成果:
- 西南中国的RBC的弹性和碳排放显示出从2005年到2020年的波动和上升趋势.
- 高度弹性城市适合于协调治理的可持续发展.
- 适度弹性城市需要清洁能源重点;低弹性城市需要稳定增长和市场扩张.
结论:
- 该研究提供了可操作的见解,以实现低碳发展在RBCs.
- 基于性水平的定制策略对于在不同的城市环境中实现有效的可持续发展至关重要.
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