一个游戏理论复杂网络模型,根据个人接种疫苗的行为和适应性的社会联系来估计流行病值
Viney Kumar1, Chris T Bauch2, Samit Bhattacharyya3
1Department of Mathematics, School of Natural Science, Shiv Nadar Institution of Eminence, NH-91, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh, 201314, India.
Scientific reports
|November 25, 2024
概括
了解信息传播和社会关系如何影响疫苗接种决策是控制传染病的关键. 适应性的社交网络和风险感知显著影响疫苗接种率和流行病值.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
背景情况:
- 信息传播与传染病动态有关.
- 个人接种疫苗的决定会影响集体免疫力.
- 社会联系和信息流动塑造了健康行为.
研究的目的:
- 探索疾病传播,整合社交网络,信息共享和疫苗接种决策.
- 在自适应多重网络上建模流行病动态.
- 分析社会影响对疫苗接种的影响.
主要方法:
- 在自适应式多重网络上开发了一种行为流行模型.
- 使用双层网络:物理 (疾病传播) 和虚拟 (信息流).
- 使用微观马尔科夫链方法 (MMCM) 来得流行病值的分析表达式.
主要成果:
- 与非适应性网络相比,适应性的社会联系提高了流行病的值.
- 网络特征,如无尺度网络指数,影响感染的传播.
- 感知到的感染风险和对未接种疫苗的邻居的敏感性强烈影响了接种疫苗.
结论:
- 适应性的社交网络和信息动态对于疾病控制至关重要.
- 有针对性的疫苗接种策略应考虑社会影响力和网络结构.
- 洞察力为有效的疫苗接种计划在数字时代的公共卫生干预提供信息.
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