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大陆人口结构中的多世纪周期与太阳活动和气候稳定性同步
Kai W Wirtz1,2, Nicolas Antunes3,4, Aleksandr Diachenko5
1Helmholtz Zentrum Hereon, 21501, Geesthacht, Germany. kai.wirtz@hereon.de.
Nature communications
|November 26, 2024
概括
在过去的12,000年里,全球人口经历了与太阳活动和气候稳定相关的同步增长周期. 这些发现为长期的人口趋势及其环境驱动因素提供了新的见解.
科学领域:
- 古人类学 (paleodemography) 是一种古人类学.
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 考古学的考古学
背景情况:
- 在长时间内,人类人口的动态仍然不太清楚.
- 大规模的人口驱动因素,特别是千年来,需要进一步调查.
研究的目的:
- 重建全球人类人口增长轨迹从9000年到3000年前 (BP).
- 识别跨大陆的同步的多世纪生长周期及其潜在驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 利用放射性碳年代的总和概率分布来估计人口增长.
- 综合考古学衍生的定居点数据,用于欧洲人口动态.
- 分析了人口周期,太阳活动和气候稳定之间的相关性.
主要成果:
- 在所有六大有人居住的大陆上确定了多个世纪的人口增长周期.
- 在全球范围内观察到这些生长周期中的同步主导频率和相位关系.
- 发现人口周期,太阳活动变化和气候稳定之间存在很强的相关性,特别是在欧洲.
结论:
- 表明多世纪太阳活动变化与气候稳定之间存在联系.
- 提出气候稳定为人类生存创造了有利条件,并同步全球人口增长.
- 强调气候稳定在全球同步区域人口周期中的作用.
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