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疫情和大衰退是否正在降低人们的福祉?
David G Blanchflower1,2, Alex Bryson3
1Bruce V. Rauner Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States of America.
PloS one
|November 27, 2024
概括
在大衰退和COVID-19大流行期间,欧洲的主观幸福感略有下降,在乌克兰附近有所下降. 长期趋势显示,尽管负面影响增加,生活满意度仍在上升.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
背景情况:
- 主观幸福感是社会健康的一个关键指标.
- 了解应对经济和卫生危机的反应对政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析整个欧洲的主观幸福的趋势,以应对重大全球事件.
- 将报告的幸福感与经济预期和更广泛的发展指数进行比较.
主要方法:
- 利用来自六项大型国际调查 (2005-2023) 的微数据.
- 经济预期的欧洲企业和消费者调查.
- 分析了来自人类发展指数 (HDI) 和世界幸福报告的数据.
主要成果:
- 在2008/9年大衰退和2020-21年COVID-19大流行期间,主观幸福度有所下降.
- 2022年乌克兰入侵后,与乌克兰接壤的国家的福祉也下降了,尽管影响并不普遍.
- 经济预期在危机期间急剧下降,但很快恢复;人类发展指数和生活满意度显示出长期增长,与上升的负面影响形成对比.
结论:
- 主观福祉对重大冲击敏感,但表现出性和长期改善.
- 经济预期比更广泛的福祉指数更具波动性.
- 尽管总体情况有所改善,但负面影响的增加值得进一步调查.
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