根据哥伦比亚和墨西哥城市的社会经济地位了解肥胖的动态,使用系统动态模型
Jose D Meisel1,2, Valentina Esguerra1, Carolina Pérez Ferrer3
1Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Ibagué, Carrera 22 Calle 67, 730001, Ibagué, Colombia.
Heliyon
|November 28, 2024
概括
哥伦比亚和墨西哥的男性社会经济地位较低的群体中,肥胖率预计将上升. 女人 女人 女人 女人 女人
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 系统动力学建模系统动力学建模
背景情况:
- 肥胖过渡是一个关键的公共卫生挑战,不成比例地影响着不同的社会经济地位 (SES) 层.
- 根据性别和年龄了解这些转变对于在城市人口中进行有针对性的干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析哥伦比亚和墨西哥城市的社会经济地位 (SES) 层面的肥胖过渡,按性别和年龄分层.
- 丰富人们对肥胖患病率如何随着时间的推移在不同的人口群体中演变的理解.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自拉丁美洲城市健康研究 (SALURBAL) 的统一数据.
- 开发了一种人口级系统动态模型,模拟从2010/2012年到2050年的BMI类别 (不超重,超重,肥胖).
- 根据哥伦比亚和墨西哥城市的性别,年龄和SES进行分层分析.
主要成果:
- 在这两个国家,肥胖负担预计将在较低的SES成年男性中增加.
- 到2012年,哥伦比亚妇女在较低的SES群体中已经表现出更高的肥胖负担.
- 墨西哥妇女在较高的SES群体中显示肥胖症的增加,而儿童的模式因性别和国家而异.
结论:
- 哥伦比亚和墨西哥城市的SES,年龄和性别的肥胖率可能会发生变化.
- 该研究预测肥胖的演变通过这些层面的不同过渡阶段.
- 调查结果强调,需要制定量身定制的公共卫生战略,解决肥胖的社会经济和人口差异.
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