使用计算认知模型模拟个人和社交网络体验对季节性流感疫苗接种决策的影响
Matthew M Walsh1, Andrew M Parker1, Raffaele Vardavas2
1RAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, PA, United States.
Frontiers in epidemiology
|November 29, 2024
概括
个人和社会经历显著影响流感疫苗接种决策. 了解这些因素可以通过有针对性的干预措施帮助提高成年人疫苗接种率.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 认知科学 认知科学
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 季节性流感会造成巨大的社会成本,包括疾病,死亡率和生产力损失.
- 美国成年流感疫苗接种率仍低于50%,因此需要制定改善接种率的策略.
- 了解影响疫苗接种决策的因素对于公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查个人流感经历和社会接触者的经历如何影响个人接种疫苗的决定.
- 开发和利用一种认知模型来表示这些对疫苗接种行为的影响.
主要方法:
- 进行了一项多年的纵向调查,以跟踪参与者的疫苗接种行为和流感经历.
- 开发了一种基于记忆的疫苗接种决策模型,使用自适应性思维控制 - 理性 (ACT-R) 认知架构.
- 模拟了个人和社交网络体验对疫苗接种选择的影响.
主要成果:
- 个人流感经历和亲密社会接触的经历都对接种疫苗的决定产生了重大影响.
- 基于ACT-R的记忆模型成功地捕获了个人和社会因素对疫苗接种行为的影响.
- 提供了这些经验如何塑造疫苗接种选择的计算表示.
结论:
- 个人和社会经验是流感疫苗接种决定的关键决定因素.
- 研究结果可以为有针对性的干预措施提供信息,以增加接种疫苗,特别是在成年人中.
- 认知建模,包括记忆和决策过程,为增强疫苗推广提供了策略.
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