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基于逆向诱导的多层方法,用于干旱地区的流域洪水管理
Ghazi Al-Rawas1, Mohammad Reza Nikoo1, Seyyed Farid Mousavi Janbehsarayi2
1Department of Civil and Architectural Engineering, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman.
The Science of the total environment
|November 30, 2024
概括
本研究引入了一个新的周期性框架,用于干旱地区的突发洪水管理,整合城市和非城市地区. 这种方法显著减少了洪水峰值,提高了抗冲击能力,同时解决了利益相关者的冲突.
科学领域:
- 环境工程 环境工程
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 传统的线性洪水管理方法对于干旱地区的相互连接的城市和非城市地区不足,容易发生洪水.
- 干旱地区的突发洪水由于快速下水和复杂的流域动态,造成了重大风险.
- 现有的方法往往无法解决上游和下游洪水管理策略之间的相互依赖.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个新的多阶段,周期性决策框架,用于综合洪水管理.
- 在洪水管理中解决上游非城市和下游城市地区之间的相互依赖.
- 解决利益相关者之间的利益冲突,同时优化防洪措施.
主要方法:
- 使用SWMM进行液压和水文 (H/H) 建模.
- 多个阶段的优化框架,包括隔离大的放置和尺寸.
- 对于选择关键上游管理策略的COPRAS方法.
- 逆向诱导游戏理论 (BIGT) 用于解决冲突和确定纳什平衡.
主要成果:
- 在城市入口处减少了60.7%的洪水峰值.
- 提高了81.8%的冲击吸收能力.
- 通过游戏理论成功解决利益相关者冲突.
- 开发一个可持续的洪水管理方案,考虑水文和社会经济因素.
结论:
- 拟议的周期性框架为洪水管理提供了动态和综合的方法.
- 该框架有效地平衡了上游和下游的洪水控制与利益相关者的共识.
- 这种方法可以显著降低洪水风险,并提高复杂流域的弹性.
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