时空建模用于识别与印尼衰老相关的因素,使用修改的通用拉索
Septian Rahardiantoro1, Alfidhia Rahman Nasa Juhanda1, Anang Kurnia1
1Department of Statistics, IPB University, Indonesia.
Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology
|November 30, 2024
概括
印度尼西亚的贫困,低出生体重和未满足的健康需求增加了发育迟缓,而教育和卫生设施有助于减少发育迟缓. 概括的拉索模型确定了影响迟缓患病率的关键时空因素.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 时间空间建模.
背景情况:
- 儿童发育迟缓仍然是印度尼西亚的一个重大公共卫生挑战.
- 对于有效的干预来说,了解驱动迟缓患病率的复杂时空因素至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 通过使用先进的时空统计方法,调查与印尼衰老流行相关的因素.
- 确定印度尼西亚各省份中衰老的关键社会经济和健康相关预测因素.
主要方法:
- 应用一个通用的拉索框架与新的处罚矩阵的时间空间数据.
- 九个时空模型的比较,包括修改的通用拉索和通用脊回归.
- 分析了34个印度尼西亚省份 (2019-2023) 关于衰退患病率和9个预测变量的数据.
主要成果:
- 具有3个最近邻近邻近矩阵的通用拉索模型表现出卓越的性能.
- 贫困,纯母乳养,低出生体重 (LBW) 和未满足的医疗服务需求与衰老有积极的关联.
- 高中毕业,卫生设施的使用,GDP,卡路里和蛋白质消费与衰老的患病率有负面关联.
结论:
- 观察到诸如纯母乳养和LBW等因素对发育迟缓的影响的时空差异.
- 预测者与发育迟缓之间最强烈的关联集中在苏门答腊,苏拉威西和雅加达.
- 建议在教育,医疗保健和减少贫困方面采取干预措施,以打击印尼的发展迟缓.
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