在中国一个正在转型的城市中,喘的全因和因特定负担:人口研究研究
Xuelin Cheng1, Xiaoling Wu1, Wenjing Ye2
1Department of Health Management Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College of Fudan University, 180 Fenglin Rd, Xuhui, Shanghai, 200030, China, 86 13621925210.
JMIR public health and surveillance
|December 2, 2024
概括
喘死亡率正在下降,但由于人口老龄化,死亡人数正在增加. 这凸显了需要在转型国家为喘管理提供更多公共卫生关注和资源的需要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 老年学是一门学科.
背景情况:
- 了解喘对公共健康的影响对于有效的预防和治疗至关重要.
- 喘管理策略需要基于证据的方法.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定与喘相关的死亡原因在中国上海浦东市.
- 为在类似的过渡地区或国家管理喘提供见解.
主要方法:
- 对2005-2021年死亡率统计数据的分析.
- 计算原始死亡率 (CMR),年龄标准化死亡率 (ASMRW) 和丧失的生命年数 (YLL).
- 变量分析的分解技术和对未来预测的自回归集成移动平均线 (ARIMA) 建模.
主要成果:
- 发生了1568例喘相关死亡;CMR为3.25/10^5,ASMRW为1.22/10^5人年.
- 主要原因包括慢性下呼吸道疾病,冠心病和脑血管疾病.
- 虽然ASMRW下降,但由于人口老龄化 (可归因死亡率每年上升21.97%) 而导致的喘总死亡人数增加.
结论:
- 喘是一个重大的公共卫生挑战,特别是在转型国家.
- 对于喘管理,需要增加注意力和资源配置.
- 人口老龄化是喘死亡率上升的关键因素.
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