像一个男人一样喝酒? 美国青少年暴饮暴饮的修改Poisson分析,1976-2022年
Jiaxin Gu1, Minheng Chen1, Yue Yuan2
1Department of Sociology, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z1, Canada.
Social science & medicine (1982)
|December 2, 2024
概括
在过去的40年里,未成年青少年过度饮酒的数量有所下降,但有风险的年轻人表现出极小的改善. 在风险男性中仍然存在高率,需要对青少年酒精使用进行进一步的研究.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 药物滥用研究 药物滥用研究
背景情况:
- 在美国,未成年青少年过度饮酒仍然是一个重大的公共卫生问题.
- 了解时间趋势和社会人口差异对于有效的预防策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 估计四十年 (1976-2022) 的未成年青少年暴饮暴饮的时间轨迹.
- 分析青少年暴饮暴饮行为中的社会人口学差异.
- 评估干预措施的有效性,并确定持续存在的高风险群体.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自"监测未来" (MTF) 研究的47个国家代表数据波.
- 分析了过去两周的过度饮酒和过去30天的醉酒情况.
- 采用修改后的Poisson (混合) 方法对分组和正确审查的计数 (GRC).
主要成果:
- 过度饮酒和醉酒的总体发病率从1980年到2022年显著下降.
- 风险青少年在研究期间的发病率仅略有下降.
- 虽然男性的风险始终较高,但随着时间的推移,饮酒和醉酒的性别差异趋同.
结论:
- 修改后的Poisson方法有效地估计了GRC数据的流行病学研究中的发病率和风险.
- 尽管总体下降,但在有风险的青少年,特别是男性中,持续高的发病率需要紧急关注.
- 需要进一步调查,以解决导致青少年高风险饮酒行为的具体因素.
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