七国集团国家的酒精消费 (1960-2021年). 永久性与暂时性的冲击
Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana1,2, Gema Lopez3, María Hernández-Herrera4
1DATAI, NCID, Faculty of Economics, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain.
PloS one
|December 4, 2024
概括
大多数G7国家的酒精消费显示了长期记忆,这意味着过去的水平影响了未来的趋势. 日本是独一无二的,呈现出回归平均值的情况,而法国则显示出酒精摄入量持续下降.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 了解酒精消费的长期趋势对于公共卫生和经济政策至关重要.
- 以前的研究往往侧重于短期波动,忽视了消费水平的持久性.
研究的目的:
- 从1960年到2021年,分析七国集团 (G7) 国家的酒精消费水平的持续性.
- 调查外部冲击对酒精消费模式的影响.
- 确定有显著趋势或平均酒精摄入量逆转的国家.
主要方法:
- 使用分数整合技术来评估酒精消费时间序列的持久程度.
- 分析了G7国家的人均 (15岁以上) 纯酒精年销售额.
- 检查了时间趋势和外部冲击对消费数据的影响.
主要成果:
- 大多数G7国家表现出持续的酒精消费模式 (长期记忆).
- 日本是唯一一个有明显回归平均值的证据的国家.
- 法国显示出明显的负面趋势,表明酒精消费持续下降.
- 其他七国集团国家的时间趋势在统计学上是微不足道的.
结论:
- 在G7国家中,酒精消费的持续性差异很大.
- 政策干预可能需要考虑消费模式的长期记忆特性.
- 具体的国家级分析,比如法国的下降趋势和日本的平均逆转,为有针对性的政策提供了独特的见解.
相关概念视频
Mass Spectrometry: Alcohol Fragmentation
3.3K
Alcohols (R-OH) ionize to lose one non-bonded electron from the oxygen atom, forming molecular ions. Due to their tendency to fragment rapidly, the intensity of the molecular ion peak in the mass spectrum is weak or sometimes absent. The fragmentation patterns for alcohols occur in two ways, i.e. ⍺-cleavage and dehydration. During ⍺-cleavage, the bond at the ⍺-position adjacent to the hydroxyl group cleaves to give a resonance-stabilized cation and a radical. However,...
3.3K
Hypothesis Test for Test of Independence
3.5K
The test of independence is a chi-square-based test used to determine whether two variables or factors are independent or dependent. This hypothesis test is used to examine the independence of the variables. One can construct two qualitative survey questions or experiments based on the variables in a contingency table. The goal is to see if the two variables are unrelated (independent) or related (dependent). The null and alternative hypotheses for this test are:
H0: The two variables (factors)...
H0: The two variables (factors)...
3.5K
Physical Properties of Alcohols and Phenols
14.0K
Alcohols are organic compounds in which a hydroxy group is attached to a saturated carbon. Phenols are a class of alcohols containing a hydroxy group attached to an aromatic ring. The physical properties of the alcohols and phenols are influenced by hydrogen bonding due to the oxygen–hydrogen dipole in the hydroxy functional group and dispersion forces between alkyl or aryl regions of alcohol and phenol molecules.
Alcohols possess a higher boiling point than aliphatic hydrocarbons of...
Alcohols possess a higher boiling point than aliphatic hydrocarbons of...
14.0K
Protection of Alcohols
7.2K
This lesson delves into the concept of protection and deprotection of a functional group fundamental to synthetic organic chemistry. These phenomena are explained in the context of aliphatic and aromatic alcohols.
Protection
It defines a protecting group as the masking agent to make the more reactive species inert to a given set of conditions. This concept is depicted via the illustration of liquid flow through different outlets in an assembly of pipes. The analogy helps to understand the role...
Protection
It defines a protecting group as the masking agent to make the more reactive species inert to a given set of conditions. This concept is depicted via the illustration of liquid flow through different outlets in an assembly of pipes. The analogy helps to understand the role...
7.2K
CNS Depressants: Alcohol and Nicotine
174
Ethanol, a clear colorless alcohol, has been consumed by humans for millennia, but its effects on the body are far from benign. At lower doses, it induces decreased inhibitions and loquaciousness, leading to its social appeal. However, it can cause severe consequences at higher doses, such as coma and respiratory depression, due to its zero-order elimination kinetics. Chronic ethanol abuse wreaks havoc on multiple organ systems, particularly the CNS and the liver. Abrupt cessation of ethanol...
174
Alcohols from Carbonyl Compounds: Reduction
10.2K
Reduction is a simple strategy to convert a carbonyl group to a hydroxyl group. The three major pathways to reduce carbonyls to alcohols are catalytic hydrogenation, hydride reduction, and borane reduction.
Catalytic hydrogenation is similar to the reduction of an alkene or alkyne by adding H2 across the pi bond in the presence of transition metal catalysts like Raney Ni, Pd–C, Pt, or Ru. Aldehydes and ketones can be reduced by this method, often under mild to moderate heat (25–100°C) and...
Catalytic hydrogenation is similar to the reduction of an alkene or alkyne by adding H2 across the pi bond in the presence of transition metal catalysts like Raney Ni, Pd–C, Pt, or Ru. Aldehydes and ketones can be reduced by this method, often under mild to moderate heat (25–100°C) and...
10.2K


