电力和能源系统分析的天气和气候驱动的电力供需时间序列
Enrico G A Antonini1,2, Alice Di Bella3,4,5, Iacopo Savelli3,6
1CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Lecce, Puglia, Italy. enrico.antonini@cmcc.it.
Scientific data
|December 5, 2024
概括
实现净零排放需要了解可再生能源和需求如何随天气和气候而波动. 一个新的欧洲数据库模拟了这些相互作用,从1940年到2100年,用于能源系统弹性.
科学领域:
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 整合可再生能源的整合
背景情况:
- 过渡到净零排放严重依赖间歇性的可再生能源和增加的电气化.
- 未来的能源系统将受到天气变化和长期气候变化的重大影响.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个由天气和气候影响的能源系统变量综合数据库.
- 促进对脱碳化挑战和气候变化对欧洲电力系统的影响的研究.
主要方法:
- 为能源系统时间序列创建一个一致的建模框架.
- 为风能/太阳能,水电输入和供暖/冷却需求生成国家级时间序列数据.
- 对欧洲大陆从1940年到2100年的数据进行分析.
主要成果:
- 一个新的数据库,整合了欧洲各地的依赖天气的能源生产和需求.
- 时间序列数据捕捉从小时天气事件到十年气候变化的波动.
- 一种评估能源系统在气候变化下的长期可行性的工具.
结论:
- 开发的数据库对于理解和减轻气候变化对未来能源系统的影响至关重要.
- 它支持为一个有弹性和脱碳的欧洲能源格局的战略规划.
- 该资源有助于解决气候,天气和能源基础设施之间的复杂相互作用.
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