一个决策树模型用于预测泰国食品配送司机之间的交通事故
Muslimah Molo1, Suttida Changsan1, Lila Madares1
1Faculty of Public Health, Thammasat University, Lampang, Thailand.
Epidemiology and health
|December 5, 2024
概括
超过45%的食品配送司机经历过交通事故. 关键的风险因素包括在雨中分娩,工作压力,疲劳,睡眠不足和改造的摩托车,需要有针对性的安全干预.
科学领域:
- 职业健康 职业健康 职业健康
- 运输安全运输安全
- 公共卫生中的数据科学
背景情况:
- 食品配送司机 (FDR) 对零售经济至关重要,但面临高交通事故风险.
- 越来越多的FDR事故率引发了严重的公共健康和安全问题.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定FDR中交通事故的发生率.
- 开发FDR交通事故的预测决策树模型.
主要方法:
- 在泰国对257个FDR进行横截面研究.
- 通过采访和自我报告的事故史 (6个月) 收集的数据.
- 无变物流回归和70:30列车验证分割用于决策树模型开发.
主要成果:
- 45.1%的FDR报告至少发生过一次交通事故.
- 决策树模型实现了66.5%的预测准确度.
- 确定了重要的预测因素:降雨,工作压力,疲劳,睡眠不足,改造的摩托车.
结论:
- 实施工作休息时间表和促进充足的睡眠可以减少与疲劳有关的事故.
- 解决工作压力和确保摩托车安全至关重要.
- 乘客应在恶劣天气 (雨) 时保持谨慎,避免使用改装车辆.
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