评估武装冲突对实现17个可持续发展目标进展的影响
Di Wang1, Mengmeng Hao1, Ning Li2
1Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
iScience
|December 6, 2024
概括
全球武装冲突严重阻碍了可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 的进展. 超过一半的可持续发展目标显示超过5%的减速,特别是在受冲突影响的国家的质量教育和基础设施方面.
科学领域:
- 全球安全的社会经济影响
- 国际发展研究 国际发展研究
- 解决冲突和建设和平.
背景情况:
- 全球武装冲突达到30年来的峰值,影响国际发展.
- 了解冲突对可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 的影响对于全球进步至关重要.
- 以前的研究还没有充分量化冲突对实现可持续发展目标的具体影响.
研究的目的:
- 量化评估武装冲突对实现所有17个可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 的影响.
- 确定受影响国家受冲突影响最严重的具体可持续发展目标.
- 为冲突后发展的政策干预提供数据驱动的见解.
主要方法:
- 使用倾向性匹配得分来比较受冲突影响国家的可持续发展目标进展与匹配的非冲突场景.
- 分析了2000年至2021年的武装冲突国家数据.
- 专注于联合国定义的17个可持续发展目标 (SDGs).
主要成果:
- 与非冲突情景相比,在受冲突影响的国家,实现超过50%的可持续发展目标的进展速度减缓了5%以上.
- 在SDG 9 (工业,创新和基础设施) 和SDG 4 (优质教育) 中,观察到超过10%的重大障碍.
- 如果没有冲突,超过三分之一的可持续发展目标可以从低/中等到中等/高的成就水平.
结论:
- 武装冲突是实现可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 的重要障碍.
- 需要特别关注SDG 4和SDG 9,以减轻冲突的有害影响.
- 政策框架应整合冲突预防和冲突后恢复,以确保实现可持续发展目标.
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