用可解释的机器学习算法预测孟加拉国五岁以下儿童的营养不良和确定其影响预测因子
Md Merajul Islam1,2, Nobab Md Shoukot Jahan Kibria1, Sujit Kumar1
1Department of Statistics, Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University, Trishal, Mymensingh, Bangladesh.
PloS one
|December 6, 2024
概括
机器学习模型可以预测孟加拉国的儿童营养不良风险. 关键预测因素包括父母的教育,财富和孩子.
科学领域:
- 儿童健康 儿童健康
- 机器学习应用程序 机器学习应用程序
- 全球公共卫生全球公共卫生
背景情况:
- 儿童营养不良是一个关键的全球卫生问题,特别是在孟加拉国等发展中国家.
- 识别和预测营养不良风险对于有针对性的干预措施至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发孟加拉国儿童营养不良风险的预测模型.
- 通过使用可解释的人工智能来识别衰老,消耗和体重不足的关键预测因素.
主要方法:
- 利用了孟加拉国人口与健康调查 (BDHS) 2017-18年数据.
- 采用Boruta技术进行预测器选择和XGBoost,随机森林,ANN和后勤回归进行预测.
- 应用了SHapley添加式解释 (SHAP) 来实现模型的可解释性.
主要成果:
- 极端梯度增强 (XGB) 模型在预测营养不良方面表现出卓越的表现.
- 确定了重要的预测因素,包括父亲的教育,母亲的教育,财富和孩子的BMI.
- SHAP分析提供了有关各种社会经济和健康因素影响的详细见解.
结论:
- 综合框架有效预测营养不良风险,并确定关键影响因素.
- 这些发现支持针对性的战略,以打击孟加拉国的儿童营养不良.
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