农业技术的进步可以促进中国的省际农村振兴吗? 基于农业规模操作的分析视角
Fei Wang1,2, Dong Xue1, Zheyi Yang3
1School of Economics, Henan University, Kaifeng, China.
PloS one
|December 6, 2024
概括
农业技术进步对中国农村振兴产生了积极的影响,表现出"首先抑制,然后促进"的模式. 这种效应受到土地规模运营和农业工业聚合的限制,空间差异很大.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 农村发展研究 农村发展研究
- 空间计量经济学空间计量
背景情况:
- 了解农业技术进步和农村振兴之间的复杂关系对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 中国的农村振兴战略旨在解决区域不平衡,促进全面发展.
研究的目的:
- 研究农业技术进步对中国农村振兴的影响.
- 分析影响这种关系的空间溢出效应和值机制.
- 为优化农业技术采用提供基于证据的政策建议.
主要方法:
- 利用来自中国31个省份 (2007-2020) 的农业面板数据.
- 测量总因子生产率 (TFP) 用于量化农业技术进步.
- 采用空间Durbin和面板值模型来分析影响,空间溢出和值效应.
主要成果:
- 观察到农村振兴的空间和地理聚居趋势正在减弱,这表明区域平衡有所改善.
- 农业技术进步在农村振兴上表现出积极的影响,尽管非线性 ("首先抑制,然后促进").
- 影响取决于土地规模运营和农业工业聚集的门约束,显示出显著的空间异质性.
结论:
- 农业技术进步是中国农村振兴的关键驱动力,但其有效性受到土地管理规模和产业集中的影响.
- 陆地规模的运营需要稳定的土地管理风险预期来采用新技术,而工业聚集可以阻碍扩散.
- 政策的重点应该是指导土地规模的运作和适应当地条件的农业生产,以最大限度地发挥技术的积极溢出效应.
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