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相关概念视频

Global Climate Change01:50

Global Climate Change

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Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
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What is Weather?01:07

What is Weather?

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Overview
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What is Climate?01:16

What is Climate?

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Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
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Threats to Biodiversity01:50

Threats to Biodiversity

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There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
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Temperature Dependence on Reaction Rate02:55

Temperature Dependence on Reaction Rate

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The Collision Theory
Atoms, molecules, or ions must collide before they can react with each other. Atoms must be close together to form chemical bonds. This premise is the basis for a theory that explains many observations regarding chemical kinetics, including factors affecting reaction rates.
The collision theory is based on the postulates that (i) the reaction rate is proportional to the rate of reactant collisions, (ii) the reacting species collide in an orientation allowing contact between...
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Radiation: Applications01:17

Radiation: Applications

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The average temperature of Earth is the subject of much current discussion. Earth is in radiative contact with both the Sun and dark space; it receives almost all its energy from the radiation of the Sun and reflects some of it into outer space. Dark space is very cold, about 3 K, so Earth radiates energy into it. For instance, heat transfer occurs from soil and grasses, the rate of which can be so rapid that frost can occur on clear summer evenings, even in warm latitudes.
The average...
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相关实验视频

Updated: Jun 5, 2025

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
06:10

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions

Published on: March 31, 2023

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创纪录的极端气候变化的可能性越来越大.

E M Fischer1, S Sippel1, R Knutti1

  • 1Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Universitätstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.

Nature climate change
|December 9, 2024
PubMed
概括

气候变化正在增加前所未有的极端天气事件的可能性. 这些创纪录的极端变化更多地取决于变暖的速度,而不是总体温度的增加.

科学领域:

  • 气候科学 气候科学
  • 极端天气事件 极端天气事件
  • 气候建模气候模型

背景情况:

  • 最近的极端气候已经明显超过了历史记录.
  • 社会适应往往依赖于经历的最高强度,使前所未有的事件特别具有影响力.
  • 现有的适应策略可能不足以应对新的极端事件.

研究的目的:

  • 预测未来的气候极端事件的发生和规模.
  • 调查影响这些前所未有的事件发生概率的驱动因素.
  • 评估极端事件概率在气候变化场景中的路径依赖性.

主要方法:

  • 利用气候模型来模拟未来的极端气候.
  • 分析了创纪录事件的预计强度和频率.
  • 量化了变暖速度,变暖水平和事件概率之间的关系.

主要成果:

  • 气候模型预测更强烈的极端和事件将以更大的利率打破以前的记录.
  • 创纪录的极端现象的概率强烈依赖于全球变暖的速度 (取决于路径).
  • 在高排放场景中,在21世纪,一周的极端热量以≥3个标准偏差打破记录的可能性大大增加.

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Simulating Impacts of Ice Storms on Forest Ecosystems
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Simulating Impacts of Ice Storms on Forest Ecosystems

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Author Spotlight: Advancing Coral Culture - Creating a Semi-Quantitatively Controlled Microenvironment System to Counter Current Limitations

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相关实验视频

Last Updated: Jun 5, 2025

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Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions

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Simulating Impacts of Ice Storms on Forest Ecosystems

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结论:

  • 预计在未来几十年里,以前罕见的创纪录的极端气候变化将变得更加频繁.
  • 温室气体排放的路径极大地影响了这些前所未有的事件的可能性.
  • 到2051-2080年,在高排放路径下,北半球中度可能每6-37年发生一次这样的极端高温事件.