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什么决定了发展中国家的外来FDI? 一个新的经验性比较宏观经济前景的后1990年代

Saileja Mohanty¹, Narayan Sethi¹, Devi Prasad Dash²

¹Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, National Institute of Technology (NIT), Rourkela, 769008, Odisha, India.

|December 10, 2024

概括

外商直接投资 (OFDI) 显示出与金国家和N-11经济体的GDP,金融发展和贸易开放的长期积极联系. 宏观经济因素对外国外商投资有重大影响,需要量身定制的政策策略.

科学领域:

经济学经济学经济学
国际商业国际商业国际商业
计量经济学计量经济学

背景情况:

对于新兴经济体来说,了解外商直接投资 (OFDI) 的驱动因素至关重要.
金国家 (巴西,俄罗斯,印度,中国,南非) 和N-11 (Next Eleven) 国家代表着重要的新兴市场.
宏观经济变量与OFDI之间的相互作用需要细致的研究.

研究的目的:

从1990年到2019年,分析金国家和N-11国家的外国外商投资的宏观经济决定因素.
为了比较这两组经济体关键宏观经济指标和外商外国投资之间的关系.
确定影响外国外商投资模式的具体宏观经济因素.

主要方法:

以普通最小平方 (OLS) 为基线的计量经济学分析.
三阶段最小平方 (3SLS) 处理同时关系.
一般化时刻方法 (GMM) 用于强度检查和内源性处理.

主要成果:

在金国家和N-11经济体中,OFDI与GDP,金融发展和贸易开放之间发现了显著的长期正相关性.
国内生产总值被确定为一个关键的结果变量,与贸易开放,金融发展和外国外商投资积极相关.
关于协会规模和意义的相互矛盾证据突出了模型和特定群体的差异.

结论:

诸如GDP,金融发展和贸易开放等宏观经济因素是新兴经济体外商外国投资的重要驱动因素.
复杂多样化的关系要求金国家和N-11国家采取不同的政策方法.
量身定制的战略对于利用外国外资投资促进经济增长至关重要,考虑到独特的机构和结构背景.

关键词:

这就是金国家.国内生产总值的增长GDP的增长人力资本的人力资本 N-11国家N-11国家出境的外国直接投资 (FDI)贸易开放性贸易开放性

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