21世纪初欧洲山地永久土的增强变暖
Jeannette Noetzli1,2, Ketil Isaksen3, Jamie Barnett4
1WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos Dorf, Switzerland. jeannette.noetzli@slf.ch.
Nature communications
|December 10, 2024
概括
山地永久土正在迅速变暖,在一些欧洲地区,每十年超过1°C. 这种变暖已经被锁定在未来几十年,影响着山区生态系统和社区.
科学领域:
- 地球科学 地球科学 地球科学
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 山地永久土覆盖全球永久土的30%,对气候变化非常敏感.
- 永久土退化对山区生态系统和当地社区产生重大影响.
研究的目的:
- 研究欧洲山区21世纪永久土变暖趋势.
- 分析来自不同欧洲山脉的十年地面温度数据.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自阿尔卑斯山,斯堪的纳维亚,冰岛,内华达山脉和斯瓦尔巴德的64个钻井井的十年地面温度数据.
- 分析了2013-2022年间在10米深处的变暖速度.
主要成果:
- 在欧洲的一些山地永久土地区,在10米深处观察到的十年升温率超过1°C.
- 在高海拔,高度,寒冷和缺冰的岩基地区的变暖速度与表面空气温度的增加相当.
- 在接近0°C的富含冰的永久土中,潜热效应缓和的变暖速度,掩盖基质变化.
结论:
- 欧洲山区永久土的变暖正在加速,超过了之前的估计.
- 变暖模式在不同地点,深度和时间段都是一致的.
- 未来的永久土变暖透到更深处在很大程度上是预先确定的.
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