使用FGM(1,1-sin) 模型预测青路面的粗度,该模型由群集智能和马尔科夫链优化
Zhuoxuan Li1, Jinde Cao2, Hairuo Shi1
1School of Mathematics, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China.
概括
这项研究引入了一种改进的灰色模型,用于预测青路面的国际度指数 (IRI). 改进的模型提供了准确的多步IRI预测,有助于道路维护规划.
科学领域:
- 土木工程 土木工程是指土木工程.
- 运输工程 运输工程
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
背景情况:
- 随着全球交通量不断增加,青路面的维护面临着挑战.
- 车辆负荷和环境因素降低了路面的性能.
- 准确预测国际度指数 (IRI) 对路面管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为青路面开发一个先进的预测模型国际度指数 (IRI).
- 为了提高传统灰色模型的准确性,用于多步骤的IRI预测.
- 为有效的道路状况评估和维护规划提供一个工具.
主要方法:
- 纳入分数积累运算符和正弦项来改进传统的灰色模型.
- 模型的优化使用混乱的自适应性鱼优化算法和马尔科夫链.
- 使用来自RIOHtrack的青路面数据进行实验验证.
主要成果:
- 拟议的模型实现了0.025的平均RMSE,0.020的MAE和1.392%的MAPE.
- 与其他灰色模型相比,在多步IRI预测中表现优异.
- 仅基于IRI变化的小样本大小来预测IRI的有效性.
结论:
- 增强的灰色模型为青路面提供准确可靠的IRI预测.
- 该模型在有限的数据中表现良好的能力支持积极的道路维护.
- 这种预测能力对于优化道路基础设施管理和规划至关重要.
相关概念视频
Abrasion Resistance of Concrete
106
Abrasion resistance is an essential characteristic of concrete that determines its durability and longevity under various wear conditions. Concrete surfaces are vulnerable to different types of abrasion. For instance, surfaces may wear down due to the constant movement of vehicles or be eroded by solids carried in water, as seen in concrete canal linings. Specific tests are conducted to measure the abrasion resistance of concrete.
One such test is the revolving disc test, where three plates...
One such test is the revolving disc test, where three plates...
106
Toughness and Hardness of Aggregate
244
Toughness and hardness are critical properties of aggregate materials used in concrete, particularly on pavement surfaces and industrial flooring subjected to heavy loads. Toughness is defined as the aggregate's resistance to failure by impact and is measured by the aggregate impact value (AIV). For this, the aggregate impact value test is performed, wherein the impact is delivered by a standard hammer, which falls freely under its own weight onto the aggregates. The aggregates fragment in...
244
Masonry Paving
249
The construction of masonry paving involves using materials such as bricks, stones, and concrete masonry units. These materials are chosen for their shape, color, strength, and resistance to abrasion and weathering. Masonry units can be installed dry on a thin layer of sand and a gravel base, or they can be embedded in mortar or asphalt on a concrete slab. For areas subjected to heavy vehicular loads, a rigid base layer of reinforced or unreinforced concrete is recommended. In contrast,...
249
Response Surface Methodology
91
Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is a collection of statistical and mathematical techniques used to develop, improve, and optimize processes. It is particularly valuable when many input variables or factors potentially influence a response variable.
The process of RSM involves several key steps:
The process of RSM involves several key steps:
91
Shape and Texture of Coarse Aggregate
193
Aggregate shape is classified based on the relative sharpness or roundness of the edges and corners. This classification includes categories like rounded, angular, elongated, and flaky, each with specific characteristics. Rounded aggregates, fully shaped by attrition, are typical of river or seashore gravel, while angular aggregates, such as crushed rock, have well-defined edges. Aggregates that are elongated and flaky are less desirable, as they can reduce the workability and strength of...
193
Design Example: Aggregate Gradation
91
The right type and quality of aggregates are crucial for concrete as they significantly influence its properties, mix proportions, and cost-effectiveness. If different sources are available for sand, the commonly used fine aggregate in concrete, the selection of sand is primarily based on its gradation.
The grading, or particle-size distribution, of sand is determined using sieve analysis, with standard sizes ranging from 150 μm to 10 mm (ASTM No. 100 sieve to 3⁄8 in. sieve). Sand is...
The grading, or particle-size distribution, of sand is determined using sieve analysis, with standard sizes ranging from 150 μm to 10 mm (ASTM No. 100 sieve to 3⁄8 in. sieve). Sand is...
91


