消失和被遗忘吗? 印度出生历史遗漏的预测因素
Sharan Sharma1, Sonalde Desai2, Debasis Barik3
1Department of Sociology and Joint Program in Survey Methodology, University of Maryland, United States, and Non-resident Fellow, National Council of Applied Economic Research, New Delhi, India.
Demographic research
|December 13, 2024
概括
生育史中的出生遗漏是一个重要的问题,影响了4%的出生,并影响了人口统计估计. 这些遗漏不成比例地影响了贫困家庭的儿童和女童,突出了改善调查设计的必要性.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 调查方法 调查方法
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 生育史容易出现测量错误,包括遗漏,这可能会扭曲关键的人口统计估计.
- 这些错误可能导致不准确的生育率和儿童死亡率统计数据,影响公共卫生评估.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计在生育史中遗漏分娩的流行率.
- 确定与这些遗漏相关的因素.
- 了解对人口统计数据准确性和调查设计的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了印度人力发展调查的数据,这是一个面板调查,有两波采访.
- 在调查波中比较生育数据,以识别遗漏的出生.
- 采用统计模型来分析遗漏与儿童,母亲,家庭和采访者变量之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 估计缺产患病率为4%,死亡儿童的比例更高,特别是婴儿.
- 发现贫困家庭的孩子和女孩子 (如果还活着) 更有可能被遗漏.
- 发现面试人员可以观察与出生遗漏相关的行为.
结论:
- 遗漏的出生是人口统计数据中的非随机和重大偏差来源.
- 特定的子组和调查背景更容易被遗漏.
- 解决这些遗漏对于准确的人口统计估计至关重要,需要加强调查方法.
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