人工智能与低技能就业之间的关系在南非
Fiyinfoluwa Giwa1, Nicholas Ngepah1
1School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, University of Johannesburg, South Africa.
Heliyon
|December 13, 2024
概括
人工智能 (AI) 的采用对南非的低技能就业产生长期负面影响. 人工智能投资直接导致这些工作的减少,需要适应性劳动力战略.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 技术研究 技术研究
- 劳动力市场分析 劳动力市场分析
背景情况:
- 人工智能 (AI) 的发展引发了重大的就业问题,特别是在南非低技能劳动力方面.
- 人工智能技术的整合需要对未来的就业机会和经济稳定进行审查.
- 了解人工智能,低技能就业和经济指标之间的相互作用对于政策制定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查人工智能采用与南非低技能就业动态之间的长期关系.
- 利用通货膨胀,利率和外国直接投资 (FDI) 等关键经济指标分析人工智能对就业的影响.
- 为减轻人工智能造成的潜在劳动力市场中断提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 使用矢量错误纠正模型 (VECM) 方法进行时间序列分析.
- 数据从2012年第一季度 (2012Q1) 到2021年第四季度 (2021Q4) 的数据.
- 使用格兰杰因果关系测试来确定变量之间的方向关系.
主要成果:
- 在人工智能和低技能就业之间发现了显著的长期负相关性.
- 格兰杰因果关系测试表明,人工智能投资单向导致低技能就业减少.
- 在分析中考虑了通货膨胀,利率和外国直接投资等经济指标.
结论:
- 这些发现突出了人工智能对南非背景下低技能就业的重大不利影响.
- 专注于工人的再培训和适应的政策干预是必不可少的.
- 建议积极监测人工智能实施和支持劳动力市场政策,以管理技术转型.
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