一个系统的风险溢出前景来建模中国的能源安全:企业级证据
Miaomiao Tao1, David Roubaud2, Oksana Grebinevych3
1Energy Centre, Department of Economics, Business School, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Journal of environmental management
|December 13, 2024
概括
中国的能源安全面临企业生产力和投资的风险,尤其是在COVID-19等事件期间. 全球地缘政治风险对中国的能源安全有重大影响,这凸显了战略风险管理的必要性.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
背景情况:
- 能源安全是学术和政策重点的一个关键领域.
- 了解企业层面的漏洞对于国家能源安全至关重要.
- 最近的全球事件凸显了能源,经济和地缘政治的相互联系.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国的能源安全,使用2013年至2022年的企业级数据.
- 确定通过企业级风险影响国家能源安全的道.
- 分析地缘政治风险与中国能源安全之间的因果关系.
主要方法:
- 开发一种新的能源安全指数.
- 将风险扩散网络矩阵应用于企业级数据.
- 因果关系测试以确定地缘政治风险与能源安全之间的影响方向.
主要成果:
- 中国的能源安全表现出时间的变化,特别是在极端事件期间.
- 企业层面的风险通过企业生产力和投资效率影响能源安全.
- 全球地缘政治风险对中国的能源安全具有单向的预测效应,由COVID-19等事件加剧.
结论:
- 战略风险管理对于提高能源弹性和效率至关重要.
- 这些发现为环境管理和国家安全提供了洞察力.
- 地缘政治因素在塑造中国能源安全格局方面发挥着重要且可预测的作用.
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