绿色增长对能源脆弱性,能源不确定性和地缘政治风险的时间量子和频率反应
1School of Economics College of Business & Economics University of Johannesburg Johannesburg Gauteng 234 South Africa.
Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ)
|December 16, 2024
概括
美国的绿色增长受到能源脆弱性,不确定性和地缘政治风险 (GPR) 的影响. 政策显示出有效性,特别是在减轻短期负面影响方面,能源效率和数字化带来的长期好处.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 绿色增长对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 能源脆弱性,不确定性和地缘政治风险 (GPR) 为绿色增长带来了挑战.
- 了解这些因素在美国的动态相互作用对于有效的政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析绿色增长的时间量子频率调整,以应对美国的能源脆弱性,能源不确定性和GPR.
- 为了在能源挑战中促进绿色增长,提供新的见解和政策影响.
主要方法:
- 从2000年到2022年月度数据的实证分析.
- 波形量子相关性 (WQC) 的实施.
- 波形量子格兰杰因果关系的应用和滚动窗波形量子格兰杰因果关系的应用.
主要成果:
- 能源脆弱性和不确定性在短期到中期显著抑制了绿色增长,但长期影响表明绿色增长正在勃发展.
- 地缘政治风险 (GPR) 最初抑制,然后增强,最终从长远来看严重降低绿色增长.
- 能源效率和数字化显示了对绿色增长的长期好处,尽管有一些短期的减缓效应.
结论:
- 政策干预可以有效地减轻能源脆弱性对绿色增长的短期负面影响.
- 绿色增长与能源/地缘政治因素之间的长期关系是复杂的,在不同的时间和分布量上有所不同.
- 能源效率和数字化的战略实施是实现长期绿色增长目标的关键.
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