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相关概念视频

Confidence Coefficient01:24

Confidence Coefficient

7.5K
The confidence coefficient is also known as the confidence level or degree of confidence. It is the percent expression for the probability, 1-α, that the confidence interval contains the true population parameter assuming that the confidence interval is obtained after sufficient unbiased sampling; for example, if the CL = 90%, then in 90 out of 100 samples the interval estimate will enclose the true population parameter. Here α is the area under the curve, distributed equally under...
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Confirmation Biases01:31

Confirmation Biases

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The confirmation bias is the tendency to focus on information that confirms our existing beliefs and ignore information that is inconsistent with our expectations. For example, if you think that your professor is not very nice, you notice all of the instances of rude behavior exhibited by the professor while ignoring the countless pleasant interactions he is involved in on a daily basis. Have you ever fallen prey to the confirmation bias, either as the source or target of such bias?
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Confidence Intervals01:21

Confidence Intervals

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An unbiased point estimate is often insufficient to predict a population estimate, such as population mean or population proportion. In this scenario, a confidence interval is used. A confidence interval is an estimate similar to a  sample proportion. However, unlike the point estimate which is a single value, the confidence interval  contains a range of values. These values have lower and upper limits, known as confidence limits, and can be designated as L1 and L2, respectively.
A...
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Interpretation of Confidence Intervals01:19

Interpretation of Confidence Intervals

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A confidence interval is a better estimate of the population than a point estimate, as it uses a range of values from a sample instead of a single value.
Confidence intervals have confidence coefficients that are crucial for their interpretation. The most common confidence coefficients are 0.90, 0.95, and 0.99, which can be written as percentages–90%, 95%, and 99%, respectively.
Suppose a person calculates a confidence interval with a confidence coefficient of 0.95. In that case, they can...
5.6K
Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals00:54

Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals

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The confidence interval is the range of values around the mean that contains the true mean. It is expressed as a probability percentage. The interpretation of a 95% confidence interval, for instance, is that the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean falls within the interval. The upper and lower limits of this range are known as confidence limits. The confidence limits for the true mean are estimated from the sample's mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor...
3.1K
Stereotype Threat and Self-fulfilling Prophecies02:09

Stereotype Threat and Self-fulfilling Prophecies

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When we hold a stereotype about a person, we have expectations that he or she will fulfill that stereotype. A self-fulfilling prophecy is an expectation held by a person that alters his or her behavior in a way that tends to make it true. When we hold stereotypes about a person, we tend to treat the person according to our expectations. This treatment can influence the person to act according to our stereotypic expectations, thus confirming our stereotypic beliefs. Research by Rosenthal and...
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相关实验视频

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Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations
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规范和信息信任匹配的匹配.

Maja Friedemann1, Dan Bang1, Nick Yeung1

  • 1Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford.

Journal of experimental psychology. General
|December 16, 2024
PubMed
概括

社会信心匹配是由真正的信念变化和公众表达调整所驱动的. 这项研究揭示了信息和规范因素如何影响人们对社会背景的信心.

科学领域:

  • 认知心理学 认知心理学
  • 社会神经科学 社会神经科学
  • 超认知 (Metacognition) 是一种表认知.

背景情况:

  • 随着时间的推移,个人的信心判断与其他人在社会任务中保持一致.
  • 这种"信任匹配"现象的潜在机制需要进一步研究.

研究的目的:

  • 区分信任匹配的信息和规范驱动因素.
  • 调查社会背景如何影响私人信心再校准与公共表达适应.

主要方法:

  • 设计了两项实验,以隔离对信心的信息和规范影响.
  • 测量了参与者的私人信心 (通过寻求信息的行为) 和公众信心 (报告).

主要成果:

  • 发现信息和规范因素都推动了信任匹配.
  • 信息因素导致了私人信心的真正重新校准,这在寻求信息的行为中很明显.
  • 在涉及反和联合决策时,规范因素影响了公众信任报告,但没有改变私人信任评估.

结论:

  • 自信是灵活的,取决于环境,受到真正的信念更新和社会信号的影响.
  • 了解元认知过程需要考虑社会动态和自适应的信心表达.

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