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大气河流导致温暖的冬季和极端的热量事件
Serena R Scholz1, Juan M Lora2
1Yale University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Haven, CT, USA. serena.scholz@yale.edu.
Nature
|December 18, 2024
概括
大气河流 (ARs) 运输热量和水分,显著加热中度地区. 这些极端天气事件与5-10°C的温度异常和复合热浪有关.
科学领域:
- 大气科学
- 气候科学
- 天气学
背景情况:
- 大气河流 (ARs) 是极地潮流的主要驱动因素.
- 在全球范围内影响降水和水资源.
- 对近地表面空气温度的影响仍然不充分描述.
研究的目的:
- 通过AR研究热传输对全球近地气温的影响.
- 量化与AR事件相关的温度异常.
- 评估AR在极端高温和热浪中的作用.
主要方法:
- 分析大气数据以确定AR频率和相关的温度异常.
- 量化异常的水平热量和湿度传输.
- 在AR事件中评估表面能量流和辐射.
主要成果:
- 较频繁出现的季节在中度地区的温度高于平均水平.
- AR事件与5至10°C的温度异常有关.
- 超过70%的极端高温异常发生在中度区域内.
- 在全球范围内, AR 与潮湿和复合热浪有关.
结论:
- 在不同的时间尺度上,AR显著影响空气温度.
- 在全球能源运输中发挥关键作用.
- 将AR纳入模型可以改善极端热事件的预测.
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