对咨询在决策中的权重进行元分析
Phoebe E Bailey1, Tarren Leon1, Natalie C Ebner2
1Graduate School of Health, University of Technology Sydney, P. O. Box 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia.
Current psychology (New Brunswick, N.J.)
|December 23, 2024
概括
人们根据顾问的质量来调整他们的估计. 高质量的建议会导致更大的调整,但感知到的质量,而不是准确性,驱动咨询,影响决策.
科学领域:
- 决策科学 决策科学
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 对于个人,专业人士和政策制定者来说,了解咨询决策至关重要.
- 法官顾问系统范式探讨了人们如何将外部建议整合到他们的判断中.
研究的目的:
- 在法官顾问系统中对建议的权重进行元分析.
- 调查顾问和任务特征对获得建议的影响.
主要方法:
- 来自129个独立数据集的346个效果大小的元分析 (N = 17,296).
- 检查了建议权重和样本/任务特征影响的预测因素.
主要成果:
- 被认为的顾问质量是建议权重的唯一独特预测因素.
- 估计调整了32%,37%和48%的低质量,中性和高质量顾问,分别.
- 对于具有中立顾问质量线索的主观/不确定的估计,建议的接受度更高.
结论:
- 认知,而不是实际的咨询质量,显著影响咨询采购.
- 如果准确的建议被低估或不准确的建议被高估,可能会失去决策的好处.
- 样本特征 (年龄,性别,个人主义) 没有影响咨询.
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