现金转移给贫困母亲对家庭结构和母亲福祉的影响
Anna Aizer1, Sungwoo Cho2, Shari Eli3
1Brown University and NBER.
概括
美国第一个福利计划 - - 母亲养老金 - - 提供了延迟婚姻的现金转移,但对家庭结构或母亲福祉没有长期影响. 收益可能超过了成本,特别是如果孩子受益.
科学领域:
- 社会经济学 社会经济学
- 公共政策 公共政策
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 母亲养老金是美国第一个福利计划,为母亲提供经费测试的现金转移.
- 了解早期福利计划对家庭结构和福祉的长期影响对于当代政策至关重要.
- 之前的研究还没有完全探索这些早期现金转移计划的终身后果.
研究的目的:
- 调查由母亲养老金支付的现金转移对妇女家庭结构和母亲福祉的终身影响.
- 评估与获得福利相关的短期和长期行为和福祉结果.
- 根据观察到的影响,评估早期福利计划的成本效益分析.
主要方法:
- 利用了16000名申请母亲养老金的妇女的新收集的数据.
- 采用准实验方法来分析现金转移的因果关系影响.
- 检查的结果包括婚姻,再婚,地理流动性,生育能力,寿命和家庭收入.
主要成果:
- 短期影响包括延迟结婚和减少地理流动性.
- 没有发现对再婚概率,配偶质量或生育能力的长期影响.
- 通过长寿和1940年家庭收入来衡量母亲的福祉,仍然不受转移的影响.
结论:
- 来自母亲养老金的经费测试现金转移对负面行为的影响有限.
- 这些计划的好处可能超过其成本,特别是如果考虑到对儿童的积极影响.
- 这些发现有助于理解历史福利计划及其对家庭动态和个人结果的持久影响.
关键词:
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