希腊出生模式的季节性变化:1956年至2022年国家数据的综合分析
Nikolaos Vlachadis1, Nikolaos Antonakopoulos2, Dionysios N Vrachnis3
1Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, General Hospital of Messinia, Kalamata, GRC.
Cureus
|December 23, 2024
概括
希腊的出生季节性发生了显著的转变,从年初的峰值转移到7月和9月的重大激增. 这一长期趋势反映了不断变化的生殖行为,并影响了医疗保健规划.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 生殖流行病学 生殖流行病学
背景情况:
- 人类出生季节性是一个全球现象,受到生物和社会文化因素的影响.
- 希腊的长期出生数据 (1956-2022) 提供了一个独特的机会来研究不断变化的季节性模式.
研究的目的:
- 分析希腊季节性出生模式的长期趋势和变化.
- 为了确定近七十年来出生时间和幅度的变化.
主要方法:
- 分析了从1956年到2022年在希腊的8,144,465名活产儿的情况.
- 使用爱德华兹方法计算峰值角度 (PA) 和峰值与低值比率 (PLR).
- 员工加入点回归分析以评估时间趋势和年度百分比变化 (APC).
主要成果:
- 每年出生季节性是显著的,在下半年出现了显著的转变.
- 峰值出生月份从1月/2月过渡到7月和9月.
- 从1960年到1992年,季节幅度 (PLR) 显著下降,然后稳定.
结论:
- 观察到希腊出生季节性的显著变化,转向晚年出生.
- 这些趋势表明,希腊的生殖行为正在演变.
- 这些发现对生殖和产周保健计划和资源分配有影响.
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