评估基于模糊逻辑的模型对预测体育赛事结果的有效性:A CRITIC-VIKOR方法
1Department of Basic Education, Jiangsu Shipping College, Nantong, China.
PloS one
|December 23, 2024
概括
本研究介绍了一种混合模糊逻辑模型,将CRITIC和VIKOR方法结合起来,以提高体育预测的准确性. 该方法为体育分析和投注提供可靠的决策支持.
科学领域:
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 运动分析 运动分析
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 由于许多影响因素,体育预测是复杂的.
- 传统的预测方法与体育数据内在的不确定性作斗争.
- 模糊逻辑模型为处理这种复杂性提供了潜力.
研究的目的:
- 评估基于模糊逻辑的模型,用于体育赛事结果预测.
- 通过混合方法提高预测准确性和可靠性.
- 解决体育数据分析中的复杂性和不确定性.
主要方法:
- 使用混合CRITIC-VIKOR方法与模糊逻辑模型.
- 采用历史团队和球员表现数据的全面数据集.
- CRITIC 方法确定了标准的重要性;VIKOR 方法对预测模型进行了排名.
主要成果:
- 混合CRITIC-VIKOR模糊逻辑方法显著提高了预测精度.
- 与传统的体育预测方法相比,实现了更高的准确性.
- 确定了可靠的决策支持的最佳预测模型.
结论:
- 集成的模糊逻辑模型提供了卓越的体育预测能力.
- 建议在体育分析中采用团队管理和投注.
- 增强教练,分析师和经理的决策能力.
相关概念视频
Decision Making: P-value Method
5.3K
The process of hypothesis testing based on the P-value method includes calculating the P- value using the sample data and interpreting it.
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
5.3K
Social Facilitation
31.8K
Not all intergroup interactions lead to negative outcomes. Sometimes, being in a group situation can improve performance. Social facilitation occurs when an individual performs better when an audience is watching than when the individual performs the behavior alone. This typically occurs when people are performing a task for which they are skilled.
31.8K
Prediction Intervals
2.2K
The interval estimate of any variable is known as the prediction interval. It helps decide if a point estimate is dependable.
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
2.2K
Sensitivity, Specificity, and Predicted Value
180
In healthcare diagnostics, laboratory tests play a crucial role in identifying and diagnosing a wide range of medical conditions. However, interpreting test results is not always straightforward. An abnormal test result does not always confirm the presence of a disease, just as a normal result does not guarantee its absence. To assess the reliability of these diagnostic tools, healthcare practitioners rely on two key statistical indicators: sensitivity and specificity.
Sensitivity is the...
Sensitivity is the...
180
Accuracy and Errors in Hypothesis Testing
175
Hypothesis testing is a fundamental statistical tool that begins with the assumption that the null hypothesis H0 is true. During this process, two types of errors can occur: Type I and Type II. A Type I error refers to the incorrect rejection of a true null hypothesis, while a Type II error involves the failure to reject a false null hypothesis.
In hypothesis testing, the probability of making a Type I error, denoted as α, is commonly set at 0.05. This significance level indicates a 5%...
In hypothesis testing, the probability of making a Type I error, denoted as α, is commonly set at 0.05. This significance level indicates a 5%...
175
Reliability and Validity
12.7K
Reliability and validity are two important considerations that must be made with any type of data collection. Reliability refers to the ability to consistently produce a given result. In the context of psychological research, this would mean that any instruments or tools used to collect data do so in consistent, reproducible ways.
12.7K


