碳化合物-23的排放不反映了根据基加利修正案做出的承诺
Ben Adam1, Luke M Western1, Jens Mühle2
1School of Chemistry, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
概括
全球三甲 (HFC-23) 排放量在2023年下降,但仍然明显高于报告. 大气数据显示存在差异,这表明这种强大的温室气体的破坏不完全.
科学领域:
- 大气化学和气候科学
- 环境监测和政策分析
背景情况:
- 三甲 (HFC-23) 是一种强大的温室气体,主要是作为化 (HCFC-22) 生产的副产品排放出来的.
- 基加利修正案要求自2020年以来销毁HFC-23排放,以减轻气候影响.
研究的目的:
- 根据大气观测提供HFC-23排放的最新估计.
- 将观察到的排放量与报告的数据进行比较,并评估是否符合基加利修正案.
主要方法:
- 利用大气观测来计算全球和区域的HFC-23排放率.
- 分析2019年至2023年的排放趋势,重点关注中国东部.
主要成果:
- 2023年全球HFC-23排放量估计为14.0 ± 0.9 Gg yr-1,比2019年的峰值下降,但比2021年报告的排放量高出五倍.
- 作为一个主要的HCFC-22生产地区的中国东部的排放量比2020-2022年报告的要高得多.
- 观察和报告排放之间的差异表明,HFC-23.3的破坏不完全.
结论:
- 目前的HFC-23销毁工作可能没有达到基加利修正案所设定的目标.
- 大气监测对于验证报告的排放量和确保有效的气候变化缓解战略至关重要.
- 需要进一步调查,以了解排放差异的来源.
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