使用FBWM和GRA方法在矿山中进行爆炸风险评估的决策模型
Edris Soltani1, Omran Ahmadi1, Payam Rashnoudi2,3
1Department of Occupational Health and Safety Engineering, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.
Scientific reports
|December 28, 2024
概括
本研究引入了一个新的多标准决策系统,用于爆炸风险评估,集成灰色关系分析 (GRA) 和模糊最佳-最差方法 (FBWM). 它确定了关键的风险,并强调了"后果"标准作为提高安全的最有影响力的标准.
科学领域:
- 工程 工程师 工程师 工程师
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 安全科学安全科学 安全科学
背景情况:
- 爆破操作带有固有的风险,传统方法难以管理不确定性和标准权重.
- 准确的危险识别和风险评估对于防止爆炸物使用的灾难性故障至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一个强大的多标准决策模型,以进行全面的爆炸风险评估.
- 解决风险分析中关于模糊性,不确定性和标准优先级的经典方法的局限性.
主要方法:
- 整合灰色关系分析 (GRA) 进行风险优先排序.
- 模糊最佳-最差方法 (FBWM) 的应用,为关键风险评估标准分配权重.
- 通过敏感性和比较分析验证,以确保可靠性.
主要成果:
- 确定"不使用个人抗静电保护装置 (R12) "",将保险丝放在爆炸物附近 (R15) "和"过早的物质交付 (R23) "是最大的风险.
- 确定结果 (C) 标准 (权重为0.538) 是最重要的,其次是概率 (P) (0.294) 和暴露 (E) (0.167).
- 验证证实了拟议模型的适当和可靠的性能.
结论:
- 与经典方法相比,拟议的GRA-FBWM模型为爆炸风险评估提供了一种优越的方法.
- 这些发现为加强安全协议提供了可操作的见解,重点关注已识别的高风险因素和标准的重要性.
- 这种方法有助于决策者更准确地识别和评估风险,改善喷气作业的整体安全管理.
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