评估气象因素和空气污染对心血管死亡率的影响,使用2017年至2020年的随机森林分析
Yousef Dowlatabadi1, Zohre Edalati Khajeh2, Mitra Mohammadi3
1School of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
Scientific reports
|December 29, 2024
概括
气象因素和空气污染物如NO2和SO2显著影响心血管死亡率. 环境因素,包括空气污染和气候变化,对心脏健康至关重要,需要注意天气预警.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 心血管疾病研究研究
背景情况:
- 空气污染是全球主要的健康问题,影响死亡率和心血管健康.
- 了解环境因素和心血管疾病之间的相互作用对公共健康至关重要.
- 伊朗马什哈德市经历了严重的空气污染,需要进行本地健康影响评估.
研究的目的:
- 调查空气污染和气象因素对马什哈德市心血管死亡率的影响.
- 确定影响心血管死亡的关键污染物和天气变量.
- 分析与环境因素有关的心血管死亡率的时间趋势.
主要方法:
- 使用随机森林 (RF) 模型进行数据分析.
- 收集了2017-2020年气象因素 (压力,湿度,温度,太阳辐射) 的每日数据.
- 收集有关污染物水平 (PM2.5,PM10,SO2,NO2,CO) 和心血管死亡率的数据.
主要成果:
- 时间,气压和温度显著影响了心血管死亡率.
- 二氧化 (NO2) 和二氧化硫 (SO2) 是影响最大的污染物.
- 气象因素对心血管死亡率的影响比空气污染物更大.
结论:
- 随着时间的推移,心血管死亡率随着时间的推移而增加,气压更高,季节更冷,温度更高.
- 包括CO,NO2,SO2,PM10和PM2.5在内的空气污染物显著影响了死亡率.
- 气候变化和空气污染等环境因素是心血管健康的重要考虑因素,强调需要注意天气预警.
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