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风速和土壤对发电系统可靠性的影响
Juha Haakana1, Otto Räisänen1, Markku Karhunen2
1LUT University, Finland.
Heliyon
|December 30, 2024
概括
土壤极大地影响了发电网的风力造成的停电. 在分析中包括土壤结数据,可以提高风力造成的供电中断的预测准确度.
科学领域:
- 电气工程 电气工程
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 网络可靠性 网络可靠性
背景情况:
- 空中线路网络经常因风而停电.
- 现代的发电系统产生了大量的故障数据.
- 整合天气和土壤数据可以提高系统可靠性的分析.
研究的目的:
- 量化土壤对风力相关停电的影响.
- 确定关键变量,将风速与停电相关联.
- 评估风和土壤对电网可靠性的综合影响.
主要方法:
- 来自芬兰五个地区的电力分配中断统计数据 (2008-2018) 的分析.
- 开发一种方法来评估风速和土壤的影响.
- 应用多变量线性回归模型来分析相互依赖.
主要成果:
- 风速和电源中断的数量之间存在强烈的正相关性.
- 将土壤作为一个变量显著改善了相关性模型.
- 相关系数从大约0.67 (风暴) 增加到0.72 (风暴和土壤).
结论:
- 土壤是影响发电系统风力造成的停电的关键因素.
- 该研究强调了在北欧气候中断模型中包括土壤的必要性.
- 准确预测电力供应中断需要考虑气象和土壤条件.
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