2020年全球癌症负担模式和预测到2040年在老年人中
Manoj Kalita1, Devaraja M1, Indranil Saha1
1ICMR-Centre for Ageing & Mental Health, Kolkata, West Bengal, India.
The Indian journal of medical research
|December 31, 2024
概括
癌症严重影响全球老年人,造成大量死亡,并给未来的医疗保健带来挑战. 预测显示,到2040年,癌症病例和老年人死亡率将大幅增加.
科学领域:
- 老年瘤学 老年瘤学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 癌症是全球老年人死亡的主要原因.
- 人口老龄化正在增加全球癌症负担.
- 这种不断增加的负担给医疗保健提供带来了重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 分析全球老年人 (60岁及以上) 癌症负担.
- 预测老年人癌症发病率和死亡率的未来趋势.
- 为全球老年癌症控制政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 使用GLOBOCAN 2020估计的癌症发病率和死亡率数据.
- 分析了60岁及以上成年人的年龄标准化率.
- 按性别和大陆计算的死亡率与发病率 (M/I) 比率.
主要成果:
- 在全球范围内,老年人占癌症病例的62.3% (113万) 和71.2%的死亡 (75万).
- 前五个癌症部位代表了老年男性 (62.2%) 和女性 (55.9%) 病例的显著比例.
- 预计到2040年,老年人中的癌症病例和死亡人数将分别增加75.2%和82.8%.
结论:
- 预计老年癌症的增加带来了巨大的挑战,特别是对于资源较低的国家.
- 数据驱动的洞察力对于制定有效的全球老年癌症控制策略至关重要.
- 政策制定者和健康规划者需要这些数据来满足未来的医疗保健需求.
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