机器学习算法用于构建辅助生殖技术 (ART) 相关活产结果的预测模型
Junwei Peng1,2, Xiaoyujie Geng1, Yiyue Zhao1
1Reproductive Medicine Department, Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, China.
Scientific reports
|December 31, 2024
概括
这项研究开发了一种后勤回归模型,用于预测中国夫妇在体外受精 (IVF) 后的活产. 该模型利用诸如母亲年龄等因素,确定了改善辅助生殖技术 (ART) 结果的高贡献预测因素.
科学领域:
- 生殖医学 生殖医学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 医疗保健中的机器学习
背景情况:
- 在辅助生殖技术 (ART) 后预测活产的现有模型具有局限性.
- 对接受ART的中国人群缺乏合适的预测模型.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一种预测模型,用于在经过体外受精 (IVF) 的中国夫妇的活产结果.
- 在这个特定的人口群体中确定活产的关键预测因素.
主要方法:
- 在中国西南地区对11938对夫妇进行试管婴儿 (2015-2022) 的回顾性研究.
- 使用了四种机器学习算法 (随机森林,XGBoost,LightGBM,二进制物流回归).
- 模型性能使用交叉验证和引导方法进行评估.
主要成果:
- 确定了七个关键预测因素:孕妇年龄,不孕症持续时间,基底FSH,进展性精子运动性,孕激素 (P),雌激素 (E2) 和HCG当天的黄素化激素 (LH).
- 随机森林和物流回归模型都显示出最佳性能 (AUROC ~ 0.67).
- 孕产妇年龄,hcg天的p和hcg天的e2是最重要的预测因素.
结论:
- 逻辑回归模型是推用于预测试管婴儿后的活产,因为它的简单性和性能.
- 这个模型为接受ART的中国夫妇提供了有价值的工具.
- 鉴定的预测因素可以为临床决策和患者咨询提供信息.
相关概念视频
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving
40
Mechanistic models play a crucial role in algorithms for numerical problem-solving, particularly in nonlinear mixed effects modeling (NMEM). These models aim to minimize specific objective functions by evaluating various parameter estimates, leading to the development of systematic algorithms. In some cases, linearization techniques approximate the model using linear equations.
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
40
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
27
Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
27
In Vitro Fertilization
214
In vitro fertilization (IVF) is a form of assisted reproductive technology where an egg is fertilized with sperm in a controlled laboratory environment before transferring the resulting embryo into the uterus. This process is designed to help individuals and couples experiencing difficulties conceiving.
The IVF process begins with ovarian stimulation, during which reproductive endocrinologists prescribe hormonal medications to stimulate the ovaries to produce multiple eggs instead of the single...
The IVF process begins with ovarian stimulation, during which reproductive endocrinologists prescribe hormonal medications to stimulate the ovaries to produce multiple eggs instead of the single...
214


