封存技术可能会通过气候-能源-空气-健康级联破坏中国的可持续发展目标
Zeyuan Liu1,2,3, Kai Fang2,4,5, Anqi Xu6
1College of Environmental & Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China.
Environmental science & technology
|December 31, 2024
概括
二氧化碳捕获技术 (CST) 提供具有成本效益的净零排放,但阻碍了可持续发展目标. 优先考虑电力部门的CST和改进非电力部门的CST对于平衡好处和缺点至关重要.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 环境工程 环境工程
- 能源政策 能源政策
背景情况:
- 二氧化碳捕获技术 (CST) 是通过扩大碳预算来实现净零排放的途径.
- 然而,CST对可持续发展目标构成重大挑战,在减缓气候变化和更广泛的社会进步之间产生了复杂的权衡.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国气候-能源-空气-健康级联中的CST的优缺点.
- 量化CST部署对实现净零排放和可持续发展的经济影响.
主要方法:
- 利用一个集成的建模框架来分析气候-能源-空气-健康级联.
- 评估与CST实施相关的经济影响,包括成本节约和潜在损失.
主要成果:
- 中国的CST可以为净零排放带来4.9815.65万亿元人民币的显著成本节约.
- 相反,CST可能会损害非化石能源的透,空气质量和公共卫生,导致潜在损失高达7.82万亿元人民币 (2020-2060年).
结论:
- 政策的一致性对于在CST的好处和坏处之间进行权衡至关重要.
- 优先将CST分配给电力部门,并要求在部署CST之前在非电力部门严格对管道末端设备进行改装.
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