埃登图主义的全球和区域模式 (1990-2021年) 预测到2040年
Hui Min Chen1, Kuo Shen2, Ling Ji1
1Division of Restorative Dental Sciences, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, PR China.
International dental journal
|January 1, 2025
概括
在过去的30年里,牙损失在全球范围内翻了一番,不成比例地影响女性. 预计患病率将上升,强调需要采取预防措施.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 老年学是一门学科.
背景情况:
- 埃登图主义显著影响整体幸福感.
- 有限的数据存在于区域性和性别差异在edentulism的全球负担.
研究的目的:
- 更新按地区和性别分类的全球牙周病负担.
- 为了预测未来二十年的全球性趋势在 edentulism.
主要方法:
- 分析全球疾病负担 (GBD) 数据 (1990-2021) 的流行,发病率和DALYs.
- 用于流行病学趋势分析的关联点回归.
- 用ARIMA建模来预测牙病的流行率 (2022-2040年).
主要成果:
- 在过去的30年里,全球牙病例翻了一番.
- 女性的患病率高于男性,在高SDI地区的负担更大.
- 患病率最高的年龄从70-74岁转移到75-79岁,年轻人群的发病率下降.
- 预计到2040年,全球患病率将达到每10万人中5,004人.
结论:
- 牙科病仍然是全球主要的公共卫生问题,人口老龄化加剧了这一问题.
- 紧急的公共和临床预防策略至关重要,特别是在女性人口中.
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