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在极端和历史性野火烟雾条件下太阳能资源的可用性
Kimberley A Corwin1, Jesse Burkhardt2, Chelsea A Corr3
1Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA. kimberley.corwin@colostate.edu.
Nature communications
|January 2, 2025
概括
野火烟雾显著影响太阳能生产,减少太阳辐射. 然而,即使在极端的火灾季节,光伏资源在美国大部分地区仍然稳定,这是由于运输的烟雾.
科学领域:
- 环境科学环境科学
- 可再生能源的研究.
- 大气科学 大气科学
背景情况:
- 美国的目标是到2050年将太阳能发电量提高到45%.
- 据证明,野火烟雾会导致太阳能光伏 (PV) 输出损失很大.
- 了解烟雾对太阳能资源的影响对于实现可再生能源目标至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化野火烟雾对太阳能资源可用性的影响 (DNI和GHI).
- 在各种空间和时间尺度上分析这些影响.
- 评估对美国太阳能发电目标的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用的辐射转移模型输出.
- 包括基于卫星的烟雾,气溶和云的观测.
- 分析了直接正常 (DNI) 和全球水平 (GHI) 辐射量的变化.
主要成果:
- 在州,地区和国家层面,随着烟雾频率的增加,辐射会减少.
- 直接正常辐射 (DNI) 对烟雾更敏感,损失延伸到风向下.
- 全球水平辐射 (GHI),主要的光伏资源,显示最小的平均下降 (<5%) 由于运输的烟雾,尽管潜在的火灾附近的大局减少.
结论:
- 太阳能光伏资源在连续的美国大部分地区 (CONUS) 相对稳定,即使在严重的野火季节.
- 虽然火灾附近的局部影响可能很大,但烟雾传输可以减轻广泛的GHI减少.
- 这些发现支持持续将太阳能集成到美国电网中,同时考虑野火烟雾影响.
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