全球沉积的变化模式是由社会经济发展驱动的
Jianxing Zhu1, Yanlong Jia2, Guirui Yu3,4
1Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Nature communications
|January 2, 2025
概括
全球沉积已经达到峰值,并且正在稳定,发展中国家成为新的热点. 经济增长是一个关键的驱动力,需要有针对性的减排政策和农业工业调整.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 全球生物地质化学循环
背景情况:
- 制造业和贸易的进步改变了全球沉积模式.
- 这些变化的精确动态和驱动因素仍然不太清楚.
研究的目的:
- 编制一个全面的全球沉积数据库.
- 分析从1977年到2021年的沉积趋势,驱动因素和区域变化.
主要方法:
- 从观测网络和已发表的文献中汇总了52671个站点年数据.
- 分析了时间趋势和与人均GDP等社会经济因素的相关性.
主要成果:
- 全球土地沉积量在2020年达到92.7万亿,在2015年达到峰值,随后稳定下来.
- 低至中度的发展中国家被确定为新兴的沉积热点.
- 人均GDP和沉积动态之间存在强烈的非线性相关性.
结论:
- 政策干预对于管理沉积至关重要,特别是在发展中国家.
- 调整农业和工业进步是转移或减少沉积峰值的关键.
- 在发达国家解决氨 (NH3) 排放热点需要加强缓解措施.
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