放射性一氧化碳表明大气氧化能力的增加.
Olaf Morgenstern1,2,3, Rowena Moss4, Martin Manning5
1National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand. olaf.morgenstern@gmail.com.
Nature communications
|January 3, 2025
概括
大气中的氧化 (OH) 度正在增加,放射性一氧化碳 (14CO) 的测量表明. 这一趋势表明甲排放量高于以前记录的水平.
科学领域:
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 环境监测 环境监测
背景情况:
- (OH) 是主要的大气氧化剂,对于去除甲等污染物至关重要.
- 直接测量OH丰度是具有挑战性的,因为它在大气中的寿命很短.
- 从微量气体数据和模型中得出的OH趋势的先前估计显示出不一致性.
研究的目的:
- 调查大气 (OH) 丰度的长期趋势.
- 使用放射性一氧化碳 (14CO) 作为OH度的标记物.
- 调和相互矛盾的OH趋势估计,并了解推动这些变化的因素.
主要方法:
- 南半球14CO测量的分析,包括来自新西兰和南极的数据.
- 将14CO数据与大气模型进行比较,以推断OH度变化.
- 模型灵敏度模拟以确定观察到的OH趋势的驱动因素.
主要成果:
- 南半球14CO数据显示,自1997年以来,大气OH水平显著增加.
- 新西兰的14CO数据显示,年平均下降率为12 ± 2%.
- 南极14CO数据显示,12月至1月下降了43±24%,这两者都意味着OH增加类似.
结论:
- 近几十年来,大气中氧化物 (OH) 的含量在全球范围内不断增加.
- 观察到的OH趋势受到甲,氧化,臭氧消耗和全球变暖的影响.
- 这些发现暗示甲排放可能比之前报告的增加更大.
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