气候变化对水处理厂的影响:对甲基水平和工艺性能进行分析
Saeed Motesaddi1, Anoushirvan Mohseni-Bandpei1,2, Mohsen Nasseri3
1Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|January 4, 2025
概括
气候变化将大大增加贾杰鲁德流域的河流和洪水风险,给水质带来挑战. 德黑兰帕斯水处理厂的甲基水平仅受到轻微影响,但整体水资源的脆弱性增加了.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文学的水文学
- 水质管理水质管理
背景情况:
- 气候变化加剧了化风险,影响了水质参数,如甲基 (Chl-a).
- 了解水气候变化对于预测未来的水资源脆弱性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估气候变化对水质的影响,特别是Chl-a度和拉蒂安水和德黑兰帕斯水处理厂 (TWTP) 的流量.
- 在不同的气候变化场景下,预测未来的水气候条件和相关的水质风险.
主要方法:
- 统计降级模型 (SDSM) 用于降级当地气候变量.
- 一个水文模型 (HYMOD) 模拟了未来的水气候条件.
- 六种模糊回归模型评估了水质脆弱性,重点关注Chl-a度.
主要成果:
- 在贾杰鲁德流域的干旱季节,预计最低气温 (92-93%) 和大量降水量将增加.
- 根据RCP情景 (90-97%),预计到2050年流量将大幅增加,这表明洪水风险增加.
- 模糊回归模型FGR1,FGR3和FGR4在TWTP的Chl-a建模中表现最好.
结论:
- 气候变化对河流流动模式产生重大影响,增加洪水风险,并引发经济,健康和环境问题.
- 虽然TWTP的Chl-a度对气候变化的敏感性较小,但整体水资源的脆弱性更高.
- 调查结果强调,迫切需要采取适应性战略,以应对未来的水质挑战.
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