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对沿海洪水和侵蚀控制的决策支持工具的评估:一个多标准的视角

Andrés M Enríquez-Hidalgo¹, Andrés Vargas-Luna², Andrés Torres³

¹Civil Engineering Department, Engineering School, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Colombia; Laboratori d'Enginyeria Marítima, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (LIM/UPC)-Barcelona Tech, Spain; Ciencia e Ingeniería del agua y el ambiente Research Group, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Colombia.

Journal of environmental management

|January 5, 2025

概括

选择正确的决策支持工具 (DST) 对沿海管理至关重要,尤其是在应对气候变化影响,如侵蚀和洪水方面. 该审查指导决策者通过各种多标准决策分析 (MCDA) 方法来制定有效的沿海战略.

科学领域:

环境科学环境科学
沿海地区的管理
决策科学决策科学决策科学

背景情况:

沿海地区面临着气候变化带来的不断升级的挑战,包括海平面上升,极端天气和侵蚀.
有效的沿海管理需要整合社会经济和环境因素,与可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 保持一致.
决策支持工具 (DST) 对于应对复杂的沿海问题和为政策提供信息至关重要.

研究的目的:

审查DST的实际应用,特别是多标准决策分析 (MCDA),用于沿海侵蚀和洪水风险管理.
澄清DST整合如何提高灵活性,并支持适合沿海城市的决策支持系统 (DSS).
评估各种MCDA方法在各种沿海管理场景中的适用性.

主要方法:

对海岸管理中的DST和MCDA现有文献进行系统审查.
评估不同的MCDA技术 (例如,PROMETHEE,ELECTRE,TOPSIS,AHP,MAUT,VIKOR,TODAIM) 的使用情况.
基于沿海原型,数据可用性和决策者互动的方法适用性的分析.

主要成果:

DST的选择取决于特定的沿海特征 (地理,社会文化).
专家知识对于在MCDA中定义标准和权重至关重要.
PROMETHEE和ELECTRE在数据丰富的环境中表现出色;TOPSIS和AHP适合有限的数据场景;MAUT,VIKOR和TODAIM为受限制的环境提供适应性.

结论:

选择MCDA方法对沿海管理战略的有效性产生重大影响.
整合DST提供了灵活性,并支持了弹性,可持续的沿海城市的发展.
量身定制的DSS,由适当的DST和MCDA提供信息,是解决未来沿海挑战的关键.

关键词:

沿海的原型.沿海侵蚀和洪水管理决策支持工具决策支持工具发展途径发展途径多个标准的决策分析分析.

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