在英格兰,宫癌的消除在眼前吗?
1Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Preventive medicine
|January 5, 2025
概括
在英格兰,子宫癌的发病率很高,但HPV疫苗接种有望实现消除的目标. 需要持续监测,以评估新查方法对未接种疫苗的人群的影响.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 英格兰的年龄标准化宫癌率 (8.5/100,000) 超过了世卫组织的消除目标 (4.0/100,000).
- 尽管HPV疫苗接种和查覆盖率很高,但消除目标仍未实现.
- 历史死亡率趋势显示,HPV发病率在出生队列中发生了变化.
研究的目的:
- 评估英国目前的宫癌死亡率和发病率趋势是否表明消除癌症的进展.
- 分析查和HPV疫苗接种对子宫癌率的影响.
主要方法:
- 自1953年以来,按出生队列分析死亡率趋势.
- 自2000年以来,根据年龄组对癌症和癌症现场发生率的检查.
- 趋势与实施子宫部查和HPV疫苗接种计划的相关性.
主要成果:
- 在2000-2004年和2010-2014年期间,25-29岁的宫癌发病率翻了一番,死亡率增加了77%.
- 在1991年以来出生的人群中引入HPV疫苗接种后,发病率下降了90%在25岁以下和80%在25-29岁 (2015-2022年).
- 将查年龄从20岁提高到25岁,暂时增加了1984-1990年出生女性的发病率和死亡率.
结论:
- 对于NHS来说,HPV疫苗接种对于潜在地实现2040年宫癌消除目标 (4.0/100,000) 至关重要.
- 2019年转向初级HPV检测对未接种疫苗的老年人群的长期影响仍然不确定.
- 需要进一步的研究来了解疫苗接种和查策略的综合影响.
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