建立基于传统诊断方法的临床意义的前列腺癌风险预测模型
Wen-Tong Ji1, Yong-Kun Wang2, Zhan-Yang Han3
1Urology 2nd Department, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, China.
Frontiers in oncology
|January 6, 2025
概括
一个新的模型使用PSA,DRE和TRUS预测临床显著的前列腺癌 (csPCa). 这种具有成本效益的工具可以提高cspca在活检前的检测准确性,特别是在服务不足的地区.
科学领域:
- 泌尿器科 泌尿器科 泌尿器科 泌尿器科
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 医学诊断 医学诊断 医学诊断
背景情况:
- 前列腺癌的诊断依赖于多种方法,包括PSA,DRE和TRUS.
- 在活检之前准确预测临床显著的前列腺癌 (csPCa) 对于有效的患者管理至关重要.
- 需要具有成本效益和可访问的诊断工具,特别是在亚洲和欠发达地区.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证使用传统诊断参数对csPCa的预测模型.
- 评估模型的性能和临床实用性,用于预测csPCa.
- 为了创建一个非侵入性,成本效益高的工具,用于csPCa检测.
主要方法:
- 对1196名亚洲患者进行了经直肠超声导向活检 (TRUSB) 的回顾性分析.
- 基于后勤回归的csPCa风险预测模型的开发,使用培训 (n=837) 和验证 (n=359) 集.
- 使用校准曲线,ROC曲线,DCA和CIC进行性能评估.
主要成果:
- 血清PSA,年龄,DRE,前列腺形状,边缘和低声区与病理结果有关.
- 该模型在训练组中以良好的校准和临床实用性实现了0.890的AUC.
- 预测模型显示的NPV (89.8%) 和PPV (68.0%) 比MRI高,在线计算器开发用于活检优化.
结论:
- 使用PSA,DRE和TRUS建立了一个具有成本效益和准确的csPCa预测模型.
- 开发的模型为csPCa检测提供了一个非侵入性和高效的工具.
- 这个模型有可能改善亚洲和其他资源有限的环境中的前列腺癌诊断.
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