资源分配延迟对流行病在复杂网络中传播的非线性影响
Xiaolong Chen1,2, Xiaolong Yang3, Ruijie Wang4
1School of Computing and Artificial Intelligence, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China.
Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|January 6, 2025
概括
资源分配延迟影响流行病的非线性传播. 最佳延迟可以改善控制,但过度延迟会增加感染风险,强调需要战略资源管理.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 数学建模的数学建模
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 资源分配对于疫情控制至关重要.
- 个人自我保护导致资源分配的延迟.
- 这些延迟对流行病动态的影响尚未得到充分研究.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种资源分配和流行病传播的结合模型.
- 分析资源分配延迟对流行病动态的影响.
- 调查延迟时间,谨慎个体和流行病值之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 资源分配和流行病传播模型的理论分析.
- 数字模拟用于研究动态特征.
- 在不同条件下的解决方案的稳定性分析.
主要成果:
- 资源分配延迟对流行病传播产生非线性影响.
- 确定了一个最佳的延迟时间,最大限度地提高了流行病值.
- 越来越谨慎的个体提高了流行病的值,但可能会阻碍资源分配.
结论:
- 资源分配延迟显著影响流行病控制的有效性.
- 适当的延迟可以加强疫情控制,而过度的延迟会增加感染风险.
- 研究结果支持优化资源分配策略,以更好地管理流行病.
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