基于辐射基函数神经网络和卡尔曼波器的双波器,适用于数值波预测模型.
Athanasios Donas1, Ioannis Kordatos1, Alex Alexandridis1
1Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of West Attica, Ancient Olive Grove Campus, 250, Thivon Ave., Egaleo, 12241 Athens, Greece.
这项研究引入了一种双过器,将辐射基函数神经网络和卡尔曼过器结合起来,以提高波浪预测的准确性. 新方法通过处理系统和非系统预测组件,显著减少错误.
科学领域:
- 环境建模环境建模
- 数字预测是指数字预测.
- 计算智能是一种计算智能.
背景情况:
- 现有的波浪预测模型通常只关注系统性错误.
- 显著波高度 (SWH) 预测准确性对于海洋应用至关重要.
- 提高预测准确性需要解决偏差和错误的变化.
研究的目的:
- 引入和评估一种新的双过器,用于增强数值波预测模型.
- 开发一种自适应过器,优化辐射基函数 (RBF) 网络配置.
- 通过针对所有预测错误组件来提高显著波高预测的准确性.
主要方法:
- 在双镜框架中,将辐射基函数神经网络与卡尔曼过器结合起来.
- 开发一种自动化过程,用于调整RBF网络参数以实现自我适应.
- 通过跨不同地区 (爱琴海,太平洋) 和不同时间段的时间窗口程序评估计算系统.
主要成果:
- 双波器的性能始终优于经典的卡尔曼波器.
- 实现了 53% 的偏差和 28% 的根平均平方误差 (RMSE) 的平均减少,用于显著的波高度预测.
- 在不同的地理位置和时间尺度上表现出有效的性能.
结论:
- 拟议的双过器是环境模拟的强大的后处理工具.
- 过器的自我适应性提高了其适用性和性能.
- 这种方法在减少波浪预测模型的预测错误方面取得了重大进展.
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