扭曲生物多样性丧失的曲线需要对大自然进行"卫星导航"
Andy Purvis1,2
1Biodiversity Futures Lab, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, UK.
概括
为了扭曲生物多样性丧失的曲线,全球生物多样性监测框架需要一个新的框架.
科学领域:
- 生物多样性保护科学 生物多样性保护科学
- 环境监测环境监测环境监测
- 生态建模 生态建模
背景情况:
- 乔治娜·梅斯提出"扭曲生物多样性丧失的曲线"作为一个关键的野心.
- 昆明 - 蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架 (KMGBF) 旨在实现这一目标.
- 目前的监测框架可能不足以实现KMGBF的目标.
研究的目的:
- 评估全球生物多样性监测框架 (GBMF) 实现KMGBF目标的潜力.
- 提出有效的生物多样性监测和政策响应的基本组成部分.
- 突出挑战,并建议成功恢复生物多样性的途径.
主要方法:
- 概念分析比较生物多样性监测与气候建模.
- 讨论自然的"卫星导航"概念,包括预测模型和快速反循环.
- 在指标,数据,模型和研究文化中识别挑战.
主要成果:
- GBMF需要"卫星导航"预测模型和快速监测反来支持适应性政策.
- 这些"卫星导航"组件对于实现自然积极结果至关重要,但尚未集成到GBMF.
- 当前的标题指标提供了"后视镜"的视角,阻碍了主动的保护工作.
结论:
- 将预测建模和快速反集成到GBMF中,对于曲生物多样性丧失曲线至关重要.
- 克服数据,建模和研究文化的挑战对于有效的自然恢复至关重要.
- 采用"卫星导航"方法将使社会能够积极地朝着生物多样性目标前进.
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